Argh, the disappointment…

by Christina Geyer on October 26, 2004 · 0 comments

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After reading several news websites, I think that CNN International erred when reporting that Virginia was a battleground state. The CNN website reports Virginia is “Likely Bush.”

So, Bush says of Kerry, “You cannot win a war you do not believe in fighting.” We’re still at war? Didn’t Bush say, “my fellow Americans, major combat operations in Iraq have ended. In the battle of Iraq, the United States and our allies have prevailed, ” in his speech aboard the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln on May 1, 2003? I don’t know, but I’m pretty sure that major combat operations in Iraq have not yet ended, one-and-a-half years later.

On the missing explosives and the war in Iraq in general, I agree with Kerry’s statement: “[the] incredible incompetence of this president and this administration has put our troops at risk and put this country at greater risk than we ought to be. … The unbelievable blindness, stubbornness, arrogance of this administration to do the basics has now allowed this president to once again fail the test of being the commander in chief.”

Another disappointment: CNN has something called the “Poll of polls,” in which they average polls of likely voters. They find 49% of likely voters for Bush and 46% for Kerry. I was not able to reproduce their results. Using the polls they cite, I obtained 50% for Bush and 46% for Kerry with a 1.5% margin of error. Unfortunately, that means we can have 95% confidence that Bush has the lead. But this does assume that the polls were conducted similarly and that there was no one who participated in multiple polls.

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